Nuclear Intervention
Nuclear weapons are highly mobile and rapidly retargetable. Even so, their deployment is unlikely to be swift enough to
accomplish the desired end. To begin with, there are political considerations; not all nations possess nuclear weapons,
and those which do possess them will placed in the position of employing them upon other nations or their own with no
practical advance warning.
Next comes the issue of verification. To be effective, launch must be immediate. There is no time for verification; to
delay is to die. To launch in error is to kill millions and risk revolution or global conflict. The time it takes the
President or other authorized official to open the briefcase and enter the appropriate launch codes could be the difference
between life and death for the earth itself.
To place verification and launch procedures in the virtual hands of an artificial intelligence or computer program for sake
of speed puts us on the road to active shields (weapons of mass destruction controlled by impartial, non-human intelligences
or "NHIs"), and subjects us to the unacceptable possibilty of computer error and/or malevolent intent.
Lastly, the flight-time of nuclear-equipped weapons will in some cases be unacceptably long; even if launched within seconds
of swarm detection, by the time the nuclear package arrives, it will not have the desired effect because the swarm will be
too large to destroy. Again, the feasibility of placing the practical equivalent of a ready-to-blow nuclear warhead on every
streetcorner is, at best, dubious.
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Nanointervention
The points raised above eliminate all possible methods of early-stage intervention save one: intervention by nanites. An
additional point not raised above also leads to this conclusion: namely, the fact that a nanoevent can begin anywhere.
Neither nuclear weapons nor plasma guns are likely to prove effective in rapidly reaching and then destroying a nanoswarm
which begins beneath an ocean, or deep within the earth.
Again, however, speed of response is a critical issue; because of the exponential expansion rate of a rogue swarm, there
will be no time to transport the elements of a nanocounterattack to the scene of the event. The counterattacking force
must already be in-place and ready to act in response to a threat.
Fortunately, the very capabilities which make a rogue swarm so extraordinarily dangerous in the first place also serve to
facilitate the erection of an extraordinarily swift and effective nanotechnology-based response.
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Employment
The superswarm will be, in essence, a single massive nanoswarm which covers and permeates the globe. As in all warlike efforts,
communication among friendly forces will be critical to mission success. This appears at first to present somewhat of a dilemma,
however, in that an exponentially-expanding rogue swarm may well consume and destroy proximate members of the superswarm before
they can transmit a warning of the danger and so trigger the superswarm's "immune response." Simply put, if the sentries are
killed before they can scream for help, and the attacker continues destroying friendly forces faster than any alert can be
communicated to outlying friendly forces in a position to respond before themselves being attacked and destroyedthe entire
scenario ends in defeat.
This situation can be avoided only if every single member of the superswarm continually transmits an all-is-fine signal which
is continually monitored by all other superswarm members within a reasonable distance. If the signal ceases or falls below a
certain signal strength (indicating a rapid friendly force reduction), counterattack begins. This arrangement has the additional
benefit of rendering signal jamming by the rogue swarm ineffective; if the signal is jammed, the counterattack begins. Signal
duplication is another matter, which will have to be addressed through encryption and/or other means, perhaps including
superswarm calculation of the number of legitimate individual transmitters operating in any given area at any given time.
Note that each individual member of the superswarm must be a transmitter; otherwise, the attacking rogue swarm can simply
disassemble (and perhaps impersonate) nontransmitting superswarm members and so continue to expand without triggering a response.
For sake of redundancy, there should be a localized and/or regional signal-detection hierarchy to ensure that a rapid local
or multi-local rogue attack does not prevent a rapid and overwhelming counterattack. Ideally, there will, in addition to the
ubiquitous transmitter antinanites, be roving covert nanoscouts which continually roam about in search of anomalies and
things which are not as they should be.
These nanounits, also, must report to local/regional detectors, via either encrypted burst-transmissions or physical presence,
or both. The need to physically report to a specific-but-changing location within a specific timeframe provides an extremely
difficult-to-counter means of situational reportage; if one or more nanoscouts fail to show up at the appointed time, or turn
out to be impostors, an immediate nanocounterattack is directed from all sides at the area in which the nanoscout(s) operated.
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Nanowar
A rogue swarm attacked by a properly-implemented superswarm will be quickly defeated; no other outcome is possible.
The superswarm will begin with a larger number of nanocombatants, will occupy all territory which surrounds the rogue swarm,
will multiply exponentially upon rogue swarm detection, and will by its presence and by its rapid consumption of available
local nanite-building resources deny those resources to the rogue swarmwhich will then be facing superior attack and
diminishing resources with which to sustain its own attack/defense efforts. Again, victory for the rogue swarm is not possible.
Assuming the superswarm is capable of detecting nanomimics (hostile nanites which disguise themselves as friendly nanites),
the mere survival of a single memmber of the rogue swarm is not possible. This is crucial, because a single rogue nanite can
swiftly generate a new rogue swarm.
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Safety Features
Safety features have been mentioned above, but a primary reason for their implementation bears restating: The superswarm
itself could become a threata potentially greater threat than any possible rogue swarm.
One reason a centralized superswarm command structure must be avoided at all costs is because that command structure could
become defective or could fall under hostile control (human or otherwise)in which case the entire superswarm could
conceivably be tasked with the immediate destruction of specific targets or the planet itself. This possibility must be
obviated at all costs. Superswarm decisionmaking capablities must be decentralized.
Decentralization will permit all portions of the superswarm which have not become defective and which have not fallen under
hostile control to operate as intended and immediately attack those portions of the swarm which are not operating as intended.
The importance of this safety feature cannot be overstated; to implement the superswarm without it is technocidesuicide
by technology.
Properly implemented decentralization, in combination with multiple signal relay networks to keep nearby and distant portions
of the superswarm apprised of local conditions, can both serve to prevent a large-scale or multiple-point rogue swarm attack
from eliminating an appropriate threat-response, and serve as a built-in form of designed system redundancy.
Another safety feature is this: Superswarm members must be capable of distinguishing between friend and foe. Further, they
must be able to distinguish between exponentially-multiplying rogue swarm members and exponentially-multiplying superswarm
membersattacking the former but not the latter.
Additionally, superswarm members must be programmed with resource prioritiesthat is, there must be an assigned priority
of materials employed in superswarm expansion. New superswarm members will ideally be constructed using the atoms of
disassembled rogue swarm members (though care must be taken to avoid becoming "infected" by rogue swarm programs in the
process; complete disassembly should obviate this potential hazard) and the atoms of those materials which would otherwise
be immediately available for use by the rogue swarm in boosting its own numbers (resource denial).
Some care needs to be taken, however, in order to avoid disassembling superswarm members, humans and other life forms, and
nanites and other objects whose disassembly will or may cause collateral damage, immediate or otherwise. If this is not done,
the superswarm threat-response will, in effect, accomplish the very damage intended by the rogue swarm.
The superswarm program need notindeed, must notbe overly complexbut it cannot be simple.
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Advantages and Disadvantages
Aside from points mentioned above and below, there are the following considerations. Unlike active shields, the Superswarm
Option does not require the creation of an infallible nonhuman intelligence prior to implementationa distinct advantage
for many reasons, not the least of which is that such an intelligence may never exist. The hard-programmed or perhaps
learning-enabled (as opposed to truly intelligent, or sentient) swarm herein proposed will be incapable of deliberate hostile
intentanother advantage.
A severe disadvantage shared, alas, in common with all viable options now foreseeable, is that the Superswarm Option cannot
be implemented without a working nanotechnology: it will not exist before the threat it is designed to protect against has
arrived. It can, if meticulously worked out in advance and assiduously tested the moment the technology becomes feasible,
be rapidly implemented. In such an event, the gravest danger will exist at the earliest stage of working nanodevelopment.
For this reason, it would seem wise to locate the initial nanolabs in remote locations, and to equip each with a sizable
and immovable fusion warhead designed to detonate upon notification of a nanoevent. To prevent the warhead itself from being
disassembled before notification can be sent or received, redundant backup detonation procedures are called for. The weapon
could, for example, be placed in a vacuum which, if broken, initiates detonation. Alternatively, the weapon could be suspended
in a fluid whose volume must remain constant, under pressure which must remain unaltered, within an electromagnetic field which
must be maintained, etc. A combination of such measuresthe violation of any one of which alone will trigger
detonationwould perhaps be wisest. Manual detonation might also be permitted.
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